![]() However, there are strong indications that this law is going to die in the next decade (even Gordon Moore, its original author, agrees with this). Moore's law (doubling of the computer's power every year or two) is still considered to be true. Of course, these are all predictions based on the current technological development process. Most people agree that it'll happen in our lifetime. Other people think that this might happen somewhere closer to 2040. Some people suggest that it'll happen somewhere around 2029. So when will a computer pass the Turing test? We can't replicate something we still don't fully understand. We still haven't been able to figure out everything happening in the human brain.We still haven't found a proper way to test the intelligence (as already stated, Turing test is not a perfect way to test this, but it remains the most popular one). ![]() We still haven't perfected voice recognition and speech synthesis.We still haven't found a way to store such a massive amount of data and developed algorithms capable of accessing such amount of data in (almost) real time. Human brain capacity reaches something like 2.5 petabytes ( source).We still haven't agreed on a set of rules regarding the AI's behavior (which obviously doesn't mean that AIs are going to comply to them).The difficulty of integrating multiple complex components together to make a complex dynamical software system, in cases where the behavior of the integrated system depends sensitively on every one of the components.Yes, there's IBM's Watson program and yes, there's a huge support from Google recently, but it's still neglected by most of the companies. The relatively minimal funding allocated to AI research.Yup, regardless of the fact that the computer hardware is rapidly becoming stronger, we still need to improve it quite a bit for them to be able to support the real intelligence. ![]()
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